The twenty-first century is
likely to see dramatic growth in the industries which were, in the
twentieth century, known collectively as the non-profit sector. This
growth will be particularly dramatic in education, museums, and the arts.
Meanwhile, in non-profit areas that may remain stable or even decline in
relative size, such as government, we can expect significant changes. Even
in religion, which has been among the most tradition-bound of all
“industries.” Thus, for leaders with dreams – non-profit
entrepreneurs – I believe we are entering a golden era. For some
partisans of the established way of doing things, this will not be taken
as good news. For society as a whole, it is the best of news. Let’s
explore some of the issues and dynamics that will help shape the world of
non-profit and government organizations in the years ahead.
The starting point should be
to examine how we define “for-profit” and “not-for-profit.” The
boundary between these regions has been the subject of surprising acrimony
in recent years. Too often, heated debate devolves to simplistic slogans
like, “We cannot turn our school children (or patients, or national
parks) into dollar signs on a profit and loss statement,” or
“Education (or government, or health care) is a business and should be
run like a business.” The reality is that, in pursuing our shared goals,
we have at our disposal a great diversity of organizational structures.
For example, look at
American broadcasting today. We have advertiser-supported networks, which
are “free to the viewer.” They give us popular schlock like Survivor,
but they also give us high-quality dramas like The West Wing. We
have pay subscription services like HBO and CNN, which earn profits from
both viewer fees and advertiser monies. We also have pay-per-view, which
lets us watch the latest movies, boxing matches, and other special events,
paying for one program at a time. And we have PBS, which is funded
primarily by viewer donations and the support of sponsoring corporations.
(When General Motors sponsors Ken Burns, is that a charitable contribution
or is that advertising?) We don’t have to watch ads on PBS, but we do
have to sit through multiple weeks of begging – I mean fund-raising.
Even this list doesn’t
exhaust the possibilities. In some cities, broadcasting stations are owned
by universities, which are either government-funded or independent
non-profit organizations. And, of course, in many nations around the
world, government-sponsored networks dominate the airwaves, sometimes
competing with private for-profit broadcasters for viewers.
All of these different types
of organizations bring us the same category of product – broadcast video
entertainment and information. They even share the same basic technology.
But their forms of ownership, management, and accountability are widely
varied.
The net result of all this
diversity is a huge number of greatly differing programs to choose from,
which most people would agree is a great thing. And as I flip from the
History Channel to VH1, from The Jim Lehrer News Hour to CNN, from
re-runs of The Flintstones to the Nightly Business Report, from WWF
wrestling to Congressional hearings on C-SPAN, I do not stop and say,
“This channel is good because no one is making a profit off of it,” or
“This channel is bad because some do-gooder charity supports it.” I
like some shows, I find others stupid or boring or even offensive, and
I’m glad to have them all available to choose from.
The truth is that even what
we think of as the corporate world includes many different types of
organizations. When you buy auto insurance from industry leader State
Farm, you are buying from a mutual company, which in effect means a co-op
jointly owned by its customers. By contrast, if you buy from Allstate or
Progressive, you are buying from a company owned by its stockholders. And
if you buy from Metropolitan Life or Prudential, you are buying from a
company that was formerly a mutual company but has converted into a
stockholder-owned company. Both approaches are viable and have a place in
our free-enterprise system.
Of course our government at
all levels is involved in many industries, from gambling to reference book
publishing, from delivering packages to running schools. And both in the
United States and around the globe there are many mixed industries that
include both stockholder-owned entities and governments. Examples include
airlines, trash collection, telecommunications, electric utilities, and
hospitals.
Our society will be best
served if we break down the boundaries and biases about organizational
form, and use all the forms available to achieve our goals. For the study
of all types of enterprises indicates that the qualities that lead to
success – especially a clear, consistent, unique, serving vision – are
required no matter what type of organizational structure is involved.
The fundamental qualities that lead to greatness at Southwest Airlines are
the same ones that lead to greatness at Harvard, at Home Depot, at the
Salvation Army, and at the Smithsonian Institution.
This is why, in looking at
enterprises, it is more important to understand what industry they are in
than to focus on their organizational structure or their for-profit or
non-profit status. PBS may be a not-for-profit organization, but it has
more in common with A&E than it does with the Girl Scouts. The Post
Office (a government operation) has more to learn from UPS than from the
Army. And the YMCA may have more in common with World Gym than it does
with the Sloan-Kettering Cancer Institute.
Of course, there are
differences between types of organizational structures. The two that
matter most have to do with governance and financing methods.
Stockholder-owned corporations are ultimately run by a board of directors
that is elected by stockholders. As long as things go reasonably smoothly,
this board is often self-perpetuating (the group picks a new member when
one retires). However, when the company stumbles, outside stockholders may
take over and dismiss the board, or another company may acquire the whole
company, and the board members will all be out on the street.
Most non-profit
organizations are also run by boards of directors, but these are usually
purely self-perpetuating. In many cases, the directors serve mainly as
fund-raisers and cheerleaders for the organization. It would take a pretty
massive scandal for the board of trustees at Yale or Massachusetts General
Hospital to be kicked out en masse.
In both for-profit and
not-for-profit organizations, the board has the ultimate responsibility to
set the organization’s goals, select the management team, make sure that
financial and other resources are managed responsibly and ethically, and
that all the constituencies of the enterprise are well-served.
The financing differences
are a little more complex and perhaps more significant. There are four
ways to get the capital to build any enterprise:
- Stock
– Money from equity investors who anticipate a return on their
investment but require no repayment. They retain ownership of the
enterprise, hoping it will grow in value over time.
- Debt
– Money from lenders (individual or institutional) who do not share
in the enterprise’s long-term value but expect timely repayment of
their loans with interest.
- Donations
– Money from people who give freely in support of the mission of the
institution, $5 at a time or $100 million at a time. No financial
return is expected, but there’s an explicit or implicit promise that
the money will be wisely and responsibly used in pursuit of the
organization’s stated goals.
- Taxation
– Money from people or organizations who have no choice, who can be
jailed if they don’t pay what is asked.
All four of these ways of
financing are valid, generally accepted ways of raising money to achieve
the aims of society at large or of a sub-group of people within society.
Three of these financing methods rely exclusively on voluntary actions,
while the fourth does not. In every case, the money starts in the pocket
of workers – from you and me to Bill Gates – and then moves through
one of more of these four channels to places where it is put to use.
Once an enterprise is up and
running, it also generates current revenues and current expenses. If the
former exceeds the latter, the difference between the two is called a
profit (by for-profit organizations) or a surplus (the term used by most
non-profits). If the latter exceeds the former, the difference is called a
loss.
If an enterprise is financed
via debt, one of the largest of its expenses may be interest payments. At
the present time, this is true of the US government. On the other hand,
enterprises funded exclusively by stock, donations, and taxation do not
have such required repayments.
These different financing
methods have different levels of appeal for different tasks. In the past,
when utility companies seemed as stable and timeless as rocks, with
predictable costs and revenues, debt financing seemed an eminently
reasonable way to build power plants.
Financing an enterprise
through the issuance of stock is especially appropriate for a risky or
experimental venture. Amazon.com, for example, has yet to earn a profit.
Its entire existence is owed to equity investors’ willingness to fund
its growth. Virtually every for-profit enterprise discussed in Hoover’s
Vision was initially funded this way, whether the original equity
investors were founding partners charging $1,000 against their Amex cards
or Wall Street firms raising a billion dollars in capital from huge
institutional investors. The nature of equity financing is that, if it
works out, the investors are paid (sometimes handsomely) for their
willingness to assume risk, to try something new. If the new idea
doesn’t work, their money’s gone. What we call “profit” is simply
the return to these risk investors.
The critical insight is that
there is no better way to finance innovation than through equity
capital. It is equity capital that has given us Microsoft, Dell, Home
Depot, and FedEx. Innovation can be financed in other ways. Much
fundamental research has been done at places like MIT, Rand Corporation,
and other non-profit or governmental entities. But the process of moving
innovation from conception to actual use in the real world –
“commercialization” – usually requires equity financing at some
stage. Even the Dutch and British explorations of the world beginning the
sixteenth century were at least partially financed by private equity
capital. And the power of equity financing is amplified when employees are
allowed to share in the value of the enterprise they create through stock
options or similar programs.
Government, financed through
taxation and debt, can be great at reacting to social needs, whether by
fighting wars, building dams and highways, or funding clinics. And
sometimes technological breakthroughs emerge as a by-product of government
programs, particularly in the military sphere. For example, the Internet
originated as a Defense Department program for linking military research
facilities. Nonetheless, innovations and technological breakthroughs are
generally developed most quickly and effectively under private rather than
government sponsorship.
Whether financed through
taxes, donations, stock, or debt, all enterprises can learn to think more
entrepreneurially. Increasingly, governments and non-profits are adopting
for-profit techniques that work, and for-profit entities are entering
fields once reserved for non-profits or government. Both trends will do
much to improve our lives. Let’s consider some examples.
The early years of the
twenty-first century are a great time to be in the museum or orchestra
“business” – or even the historic landmark preservation
“industry.” These and other cultural enterprises are already booming
industry, with further enormous growth in the near future. This is because
of growing demand. For example, the museum and historical site business
currently generates over $7 billion in revenues annually in the US.
Between 1990 and 1998, this industry grew by 128%, over twice as fast as
the overall economy (which grew by 51%). The Metropolitan Museum of Art is
a $340 million business and New York’s number one tourist attraction,
drawing over five million visitors a year. The Metropolitan Opera is doing
$206 million a year. These organizations have the potential to become much
much bigger in the next fifty to one hundred years with the right kind of
entrepreneurial leadership.
This increased demand is a
direct result of population trends. The American and foreign citizens and
tourists who support culture are steadily growing healthier, longer-lived,
and better educated, and they have more money in their pockets. As the
“first world” nations continue to increase in wealth, and as other
nations follow them up the wealth curve, the demand for “high culture”
will increase dramatically.
This growth in demand will be accompanied by two other big trends:
the rise of philanthropy by an aging (and ultimately dying) population,
and the increased availability of volunteer and leisure hours. In his
thought-provoking book, The Fourth Great Awakening and the Future of
Egalitarianism, Nobel-prize-winning economist Robert Fogel points out
that “first world” residents have increased their lifespans while
simultaneously reducing the number of lifetime hours devoted to earning a
living. The table below shows his projection of these trends into the
future.
Average lifetime hours available for selected
activities
If Fogel is anywhere near
correct, there will likely be an enormous increase in the total volunteer
labor pool available for museums, symphony orchestras, social programs
like the Salvation Army, and other organizations. Increased funding and
increased volunteer help will make the best-run cultural enterprises far
more resource-rich than in the past.
At the same time, it will be
more important than ever for these enterprises to adopt an entrepreneurial
viewpoint and management style. All those new donations and volunteer
hours are as valuable as any stockholder capital ever raised, and must be
used effectively and innovatively to serve customers.
Recent trends in the
non-profit world are promising. Many of the cultural industries boast
great leadership. The Smithsonian Institution is a $485 million business
which offers captivating exhibitions, sponsors fine programs for education
and research, and sells attractive merchandise through well-run shops and
catalogs and over the Internet. Like for-profit Disney, the Smithsonian
knows how to handle crowds and deliver a great experience to young and old
alike.
When I was growing up,
museums were quiet, dusty places where kids went only when their teachers
or parents dragged them there. Today, all around the globe and in every
subject area from science to modern art, museums have become dynamic and
innovative centers of entertainment, education, and fun. And some of our
performing arts organizations are not far behind. In terms of clarity,
consistency, and service, I would rate these industries among the
world’s best. And, particularly in contrast with other non-profit
enterprises, these businesses are great at differentiation – at
branding. People around the world know and respect the great cultural
brand names – the Museum of Modern Art, the San Diego Zoo, the Bolshoi
Ballet, the Tanglewood summer music festival, the Prado, the Rock and Roll
Hall of Fame, and many others.
In the future, driven by the
increasing diversity of interests in a wealthier world, many new and
exciting kinds of cultural enterprises will emerge. There will be more
museums about subjects ranging from travel to business history, textiles
to movies, pinball to tractors. There will be more video art performance
centers, modern dance festivals, musical theatres, and public art and
sculpture.
I am hopeful that we will
also see innovations in the financing and structuring of non-profit
enterprises. As an example, look at the National Geographic Society. One
part of this enterprise is a giant magazine publisher, one part is a
television and video producer, one part is a research arm. Another
example: Goodwill Enterprises operates a chain of retail stores which
produces $1.35 billion of their $1.65 billion in annual revenue. These
enterprises could be organized as for-profit companies, as non-profits, or
as for-profit/non-profit hybrids. Hybrid? Carlsberg Brewery Company in
Denmark is the world’s fifth largest brewer in a recent ranking.
Fifty-five percent of its shares are owned by the Carlsberg Foundation,
which in turn operates the Museum of National History at Frederiksborg
Castle and supports the arts. The founders set it up that way.
I can imagine a non-profit
enterprise – an art museum, for example – publicly selling stock in
its retail operations, its video sales, and its website. If successful,
retention by the non-profit entity of even half ownership might generate
enough dividends or capital gains to finance the acquisition of new works
of art. Perhaps the building which houses a museum could be owned by a
publicly-held real estate investment trust (REIT) that buys the building
from the museum and leases it back, allowing the museum to spend more on
current programs and acquisitions for the collections. Perhaps a symphony
orchestra could create a record company in a joint venture with Sony.
Maybe a library could sell memberships and go public.
In exploring possibilities
like these, it’s important not to let stereotypes about “for profit”
enterprises stifle creativity. A library that charges me $100 a year may
want to provide free memberships to school kids, the elderly, or the
needy. A for-profit museum may want to open its doors for free on
Thursday. Integrating equity financing with more traditional ways of
funding the arts and social causes doesn’t have to mean giving up on the
ideals that have always inspired leaders in the non-profit sector.
The same types of innovative
thinking will become more prevalent throughout the other parts of the
non-profit sector, from healthcare to social services. Today the American
Cancer Society, the Nature Conservancy, the Girl Scouts, and Habitat for
Humanity are all $400 million-plus enterprises. In this century, both
their global mission and their support will grow, and innovative ways of
serving diverse groups of customers will take their place alongside clear,
consistent, unique visions in determining the ultimate success of these
entities.
The upside potential for financial innovation in these fields is very
significant. In my hometown of Austin, caring venture capitalists have
already started a fund (the Austin Enterprise Foundation) to which they
contribute stock options. If the startup companies, mostly high tech, take
off, the gains will benefit local charities. There is even talk of giving
the city government stock options. Look for lots of developments along
these lines spurred by visionary leaders in the arts and other non-profit
fields.